Project Information

Title: Prospective analysis of urban growth under the context of climate change

Client: Banco Interamericano de Desarrollo (BID), Iniciativa de Ciudades Emergentes y Sostenibles (ICES) – 2015

Project Description

The identification of urban growth patterns is essential for sustainable urban land management. Working closely with municipal partners and local decision makers from the great metropolitan region of San José (GAM), Costa Rica, current and future urban growth patterns were analyzed for the city. The analysis included the identification of historical growth trends of the metropolitan region and focused on incorporating the projected housing demand for 2030 and 2050 under three different growth scenarios: trend, regional plan and smart growth. The innovative development models took into account land development density, income levels, and the projection of land use demand. Lastly, in order to communicate the applicability of smart growth principles within San Jose, a conceptual master plan was created for one of the neighborhoods in the city. The project left clients with a clear assessment of current and future development patterns as well as an understanding of what smart growth policies would look like within the local context.

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