Title: Urban Growth Scenario Development and Infrastructure Expansion Cost Estimates for a Coastal City
Client: Banco Interamericano de Desarrollo (BID), Iniciativa de Ciudades Emergentes y Sostenibles (ICES) – 2013
Known as a popular coastal resort destination, Mar del Plata is projected to continue growing at a rapid pace over the coming decades. Based on current trends, the city is expected to grow along major corridors leading away from the urban core. The lower density and higher land needs in this scenario could have serious implications on municipal finances. In order to better plan for the changes and prepare for the capital costs associated with this expansion, two alternative scenarios were developed, which depict how policy and planning decisions may shape future residential development of the city. At the same time, an innovative spatial approach to infrastructure cost modeling was used in order to determine the public sector infrastructure cost associated with each development scenario. The results of the analysis provided clients with evidence to support the merits of a proactive planning approach that can drastically reduce the footprint of future growth and its associated infrastructure expenditures.
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