Project Information

Title: Landscape Conservation and Climate Change Scenarios for the State of Florida: A Decision Support System

Client: U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (USFWS), Florida Fish and Wildlife Conservation Commission (FFWCC) – 2014

Project Description

The PFLCC Statewide Conservation Scenarios Project generated visualizations of land cover conditions of three alternative futures for the state of Florida in 2020, 2040 and 2060. The scenarios illustrated interactions between climate change, human population change, and conservation strategies and resources. These simulations were integrated into a spatial decision support system, which allows stakeholders to evaluate conservation strategies at landscape to regional scales. This study is the one of the first in Florida, and nationally, to simulate in spatial detail both fee-simple acquisition and conservation easements. We have mapped conservation opportunities across both social and biophysical dimensions, finding very considerable differences. Our results indicate that under expected levels of funding, non-fee-simple conservation will be necessary, but will require a level of institutional support and coordination never before seen in Florida.

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