Title: Evaluating Risk Associated with Coastal and River Flooding, Earthquakes, Landslides, and Wind
Client: Banco Interamericano de Desarrollo (BID), Iniciativa de Ciudades Emergentes y Sostenibles (ICES) – 2014
Due to the geologic setting and climatological conditions of Montego Bay, it is exposed to a wide range of natural hazards, including wind and storm surge from tropical storms, fluvial inundation, seismic activity, and landslides. Many of the weather-related hazards are expected to increase in frequency and severity under climate change, and it is essential for the city to understand the current and future risk associated with these threats. With this in mind, a detailed landslide susceptibility and flooding probability analysis was initiated in Montego Bay. In order to shed light on the social impacts of these hazards, data on development types and real estate value was integrated into the analysis. The result of this multi-hazard analysis and risk calculation provided for our clients a realistic appreciation of the existing hazards in Montego Bay, creating a more effective discussion around possible investments that need to be made to reduce hazard vulnerability and protect the city’s residents and resources.
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